Free College Football Play of the Day (Friday, 8/29/25)
Author: Dylan Lieck | August 29, 2025 | 4:15 A.M. CST
Last Night Recap: Great night last night, as we went 2-0 on our best bets with winners on Buffalo +18 and Cinci +7.
Free Play of the Day: This play below is NOT an official play. This is a play that just missed my card. I do not have anything on this game whatsoever and it will NOT count for my Best Bets record, win or lose. These free plays are essentially just leans. It’s a side that I like but missed the cut for whatever reason.
Friday’s Free Play of the Day:
Pick: Baylor Bears +1.5 vs. Auburn
Summary: the line on this game opened Auburn -2.5 and we’ve seen significant money push it down to 1.5. Some spots it’s trending towards pick. Auburn had a rough year last year, missing a bowl game once again under Hugh Freeze. Baylor wasn’t all that much better early in the year but they improved significantly as the season progressed, which likely saved Dave Arranda his job.
Going into this year Auburn has the better recruiting class, but Baylor has the much more known commodity at QB in Sawyer Robertson. He’s got a solid arm, mobility, and he’s done it for multiple years at a power 5 school. On the other side, the Tigers trot out Jackson Arnold. A highly touted prospect out of HS, Arnold had high expectations, but largely disappointed in his freshman campaign at OU, getting benched prior to the mid-season rivalry game against Texas. The kid he was benched for was a 3-star kid with significant skill deficiencies. While Arnold did end up getting starts later in the season, it was clear he was not ready to lead a high division 1 program. Now he transfers to Auburn and has to go on the road week 1 to a solid team with a much improved defense.
The reason is stated away from this game is I truly don’t trust Dave Arranda. I think he’s a subpar coach, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he was out in Waco by the end of the season. That said, I still lean Baylor here. Not only do they have the better QB, but fading Hugh Freeze is normally a profitable endeavor. He’s done nothing but underperform, from a wins standpoint, as well as ATS. I don’t expect either team to look particularly sharp tonight, but I trust the home team, taking pro money, with the better QB, and the not as shitty head coach.
Let’s back Baylor for our free play of the day. Reminder, I have no real play in this, it’s simply a lean.
Pick: Baylor +1.5