NFL Best Bets (10/19/25)
Author: Dylan Lieck | October 19, 2025 | 8:37 A.M. CST
Best Bets:
1) Cleveland Browns -2.5 vs. Miami Dolphins:
The Miami Dolphins are an absolute dumpster fire this season, and it’s only trending down. Mike McDaniel is one bad loss away from losing his job, and the players don’t seem to care one bit. They already have multiple key injuries on the defensive side, and they lost Tyreek Hill for the season a few weeks ago. They come into this game 1-5. The Browns come into the game 1-5 as well, but they’ve actually been phenomenal defensively this season. The issue has been on the offensive end. I am happy to throw out last week’s loss, as they were coming back from London, which is always a tough spot. While I don’t love Dillon Gabriel (in fact I think he’s awful), I actually prefer him going against this pathetic Miami defense, over Tua going against this top 5 Browns defense. Additionally, I love this spot due to the weather. It’s supposed to be nasty in Cleveland today, and we should see tons of rain. That’s a recipe for DISASTER for Tua. He’s always struggled against elite defenses. And he’s always struggled in weather. We’re getting BOTH of these today. This is one of my favorite spots of the year. Let’s back the Browns and lay anything less than a field goal.
Official Pick: Browns -2.5 (-110)
Play Rating: 4-Star
2) Philadelphia Eagles -1 @ Minnesota Vikings
I don’t typically like taking short road favorites like this, but I’m okay doing it here for two reasons. One, I love the Eagles coming off two consecutive losses. While I don’t think they are the same team they were last year, I do think they BELIEVE they are just as good. And that means we are going to get a very motivated team who does not want to lose 3 straight. I believe we get a really focused effort from Jalen Hurts and the passing game. Secondly, I love this spot because I love fading Carson Wentz off a good performance. Wentz is one of the most inconsistent players in the league, and he almost never has multiple good outings in a row. I think he’s due for some regression here. While the Eagles defense hasn’t been great, they are opportunistic, and it wouldn’t surprise me here to see Wentz commit some turnovers and negative plays. I don’t love this as much as I love the Browns today, but I do think this is a good spot for Phili, and I think the Eagles off two straight losses will bounce back and find a way to get a win here. Note that the line has dropped from 2.5 all the way to 1, so we definitely have some value now getting this at essentially a pick’em.
Official Pick: Eagles -1 (-110)
Play Rating: 2-Star
