Super Bowl Best Bets & Prop Bets (2/9/25)
Author: Dylan Lieck | February 9, 2025 | 8:51 A.M. CST
Best Bet: Eagles ML 1st Half (-110)
In all honesty I like the Eagles in the game from a power number perspective. I get the Eagles have an inferior coach and QB, but the Eagles are much better in every other area. Overall, I made this Eagles -2.7 and we’re currently sitting at Chiefs -1.5? I just don’t get to this number even though it’s a non-valuable number
All that said, I just don’t trust Jalen Hurts late in games and Mahomes and Andy Reid scare the shit out of me; I refuse to bet against them in a full game here. The only time I bet against them in a SB was when they faced Tom Brady (who is the GOAT). So instead of going against the Chiefs in the game, I’m going to go against them in the first half. I believe the Eagles will come out strong, and lead at halftime. I just fear what could happen late. So let’s FLY (pun intended) with the first half only.
Official Pick: Eagles -110 (1H)
Play Rating: 2-Star
Prop Bets:
1) Harrison Butker OVER 1.5 FGs (-138): The Chiefs have one of the highest redzone rates in the NFL. In fact, it is the best redzone rate for a Chiefs team since the 2018 season. However, the Eagles have one of the best redzone defenses in the NFL. I could see the Chiefs reaching the redzone often in this game, but getting held to FGs. I also think in a dome, we are liable to see a long kick from Butker, and he’s been the best in NFL History on 50+ yarders in the playoffs.
2) Jalen Hurts to Win SB MVP +340: Look, I don’t think Jalen Hurts is a great QB by any means. However, it’s downright wrong that the price is what it is. Saquon Barkley is great, but there is. no way he’s going to have a big game here against Spagnola with 2 weeks to prep. Spags is going to make Jalen Hurts beat them in this game, and if the Eagles win it will be because Jalen Hurts has a great game. I just DO NOT see a path where the Eagles win and Hurts doesn’t have at least 3 TDs. So, although I think the Chiefs PROBABLY win this game, it’s legitimately 50-50. And if the Eagles DO win it’s going to be Hurts. So the price at +340 is wild to me. This is an AUTO bet for me the second I saw this price. It’s down a bit, but take it now at any number +250 or higher
Both Prop Bets = 1-Star
