U.S. Open Round 2 Matchup Best Bets (6/13/25)
Author: Dylan Lieck | June 13, 2025 | 3:47 A.M. CST
Previous Bet: We got home easily with Tyrese Haliburton over. A nice 3-star winner for the followers of my page, as Haliburton got there in the middle of the third quarter. No sweat on that one, and we’ve started a new streak. I’m headed to Las Vegas today, so let’s get on a heater while I’m there!!
Current Streak: 1
Best Bets:
Best Bet No. 1: Brooks Koepka +104 vs. Jordan Speith (RD 2 Matchup):
We’re going to ride with two-time U.S. Open Champion over my favorite golfer today. Despite my love for Jordan Speith, the fact of the matter is that he just hasn’t had it the past couple years. It feels like we all are just waiting for Speith to have some sort of resurgence in his career, and yet it just has not happened. Speith played well yesterday, getting in at even par. But he’s been extremely inconsistent round-to-round. Par yesterday at Oakmont is an exceptional score. It’s hard to see a world where Jordan follows that up with anything BETTER than a 70 today. On the other side, Koepka is the exact opposite. When he’s playing poorly, he often misses the cut. But when he puts up a good first round at a major, he actually tends to improve round to round (relative to course conditions, not always score-wise). Koepka got in at even par, just as Speith did. However, that included finishing with back-to-back birdies on 17 and 18. Had Koepka got through those two holes with two pars, he comes in 2 shots off the lead, in a tie for third. It’s a completely different spot than he’s currently in. Brooks just LOOKED the better golfer, and he’s had significantly more success in majors in the recent past. I actually have ZERO clue how Brooks is a DOG here. I guess his current form is to blame for the number, but Speith has just not been good. Back Brooks to take down Speith at plus money, and I wouldn’t be surprised if it wasn’t particularly close. By the way, I give Brooks a 68% shot to shoot better than Jordan today, and yet we’re catching 4 extra cents on the dollar. I considered making this a 3-star, but we’ll stick to 2-star
Official Pick: Brooks Koepka +104 Over Jordan Speith (U.S. Open Round 2 Matchup)
Play Rating: 2-Star
Best Bet No. 2: Adam Scott -134 vs. Tom Kim
Adam Scott was phenomenal in approach yesterday in round 1 at the U.S. Open. He hit 14 greens in regulation on his way to an even par 70. That said, he struggled with the putter (not a huge surprise). Scott, who will turn 45 next month, still has some good golf left in him. He finished top 10 in the Open Championship at the end of last year, and he finished top 20 (19th) in the PGA Championship roughly a month ago. The experience in this level of tournament can’t be understated. When we look at the other guy here, Tom Kim has been far from good this season. He comes in nowhere near top form. Over the past 4 months, Kim’s BEST finish in a PGA event is a tie for 36th, back in March at the Valspar Championship. In that same span he’s missed the cut 4 times, including last week at the RBC Heritage Canadian Open. His last 4 starts have been as follows: CUT, T-44th, 71st, T-54th. There is just no reason to believe Tom Kim is going to come out and shoot a good score with the course conditions the way that they are. Additionally, I can’t get out of my mind last year, when he absolutely imploded later in the tournament. I think this is a HUGE misprice, as I believe Scott should be closer to -200 or -210 based on the matchup and current form. So, let’s back the veteran Master’s Champion in Adam Scott, as I believe he will easily score better than Tom Kim in round 2 today. Back Adam Scott.
Official Pick: Adam Scott -134 Over Tom Kim
Play Rating: 2-Star
