NBA Finals Game 3 Player Prop Best Bet (6/11/25)
Author: Dylan Lieck | June 11, 2025 | 2:18 P.M. CST
Last Bet: We took a loss on our last play with Aliyah Boston over on points. She was at 7 in the first half, and on pace to go over. However, the Fever were up so many on the Sky that Boston did not play much in the 4th quarter, and she finished with just 10 points (we needed 14). Let’s start a new streak tonight. I’ll have one official best bet and I’ll also include the small things I bet tonight.
Current Streak: 0
Best Bet: Tyrese Haliburton OVER 18.5 Points (-104)
Haliburton has really struggled the first two games of the NBA Finals. Everyone remembers the shot he hit in game 1, but the reality is he’s been bad offensively. That said, he hasn’t been inefficient. He’s just not put up the volume required for a guy who is supposed to be the number one option. The first two games Haliburton has scored just 14 and 17 points in each respective game. Tonight we need 19 or more points to go over the total.
None of Haliburton’s inconsistencies in terms of production are surprising. He’s largely been an up and down player over the course of his career, especially scoring wise. If you look at Haliburton’s numbers throughout the playoffs, every single time he’s scored 18 or less back-to-back games (which he did in games 1 and 2), he follows it up with 19 or more the following game. Moreover, when you dive further and look back to the regular season, that pattern continues all the way back to JANUARY. Meaning, it’s been over months since Haliburton has gone 3 straight games without scoring 19 or more. Additionally, all he’s heard over the past 2 days is how unaggressive he was in the first two games & how the Pacers need him to be more aggressive to have a shot to win this series. He even mentioned it after the game 2 loss in the press conference.
With all that in mind, this is a no-brainer. This is one trend that I looked at and decided this is going to be a MAJOR play on for us. It’s a HUGE game for the Pacers’ championship hopes. We KNOW we’re going to get the volume we need in terms of shot attempts. Barring just a HORRIBLE game shooting wise, we are going over this number. The Thunder have really crowded passing lanes and made it difficult for Haliburton to be the distributor that he loves to be. So we also have the scheme working in our favor. Back Tyrese Haliburton to go OVER his point total tonight, to score 19 or more points.
Official Pick: Tyrese Haliburton OVER 18.5 Points (-104)
Play Rating: 3-Star
Additional Plays Considered:
First Half Over 115.5
OKC 1H Team Total OVER 59.5
Indiana 1H Team Total OVER 56.5
Chet Holmgren First Point +550
I bet Chet first point for .25 Units. The rest I played for just 1 Unit. These are not best bets but just the smaller plays I took.
