College Softball World Series Best Bet (6/6/25)

Author: Dylan Lieck | June 6, 2025 | 11:14 A.M. CST

Note: Haven’t had anything I’ve loved the last couple nights so I didn’t post. I do see some value in the “All-Texas” Showdown for the National Championship tonight in college softball, so let’s take a look.

Best Bet: Texas Longhorns +115 vs. Texas Tech
I must admit, I’m not the biggest college softball fan, nor am I a softball fan in general. However, the logic of this number here makes absolutely zero sense. Texas’s star pitcher Teagan Kavan has been nothing short of tremendous in the WCWS. She’s appeared in 5 games in the World Series. She’s a perfect 3-0 as a starter, with one save (in 3 innings in relief), and a 5th appearance last night, recording the final two outs of the game for the Texas defense. Not only is she undefeated, but she has yet to give up a SINGLE EARNED RUN in 5 appearances.

Kavan faces off against probably the most talented pitcher in the country for the Red Raiders, in NiJaree Canady. While Canady has been phenomenal, carrying Texas Tech all the way to a game 3 in the National Championship, she has pitched EVERY SINGLE INNING from the Super Regionals up until this point, including every pitch games 1 and 2 vs. the Longhorns in this series. While it’s not the same as baseball in terms of pitch counts and limits on pitchers, fatigue still plays an issue. While Canady was having to gut out a 1-run (4-3) victory last night to keep the Red Raiders season alive, Kavan was getting some much needed rest. She threw just 12 pitches in relief last night, while Canady has thrown nearly 200 over the course of the first two games. Additionally, Texas’ hitters were starting to figure out Canady late in game 2. And, while Tech was able to hold off the late Horn’s rally, you could see the confidence of the Texas hitters rising, while simultaneously seeing Canady’s fatigue kicking in. They are now asking her to come back out and pitch an entire 7 innings against one of the best teams in the country. It’s just a big ask.

You also factor in the fact that this is Texas’ 3rd trip to the National Championship series in the past 4 years, falling short the first two trips. This one feels different, as the Horns are definitely the BETTER all around team. While I do believe there’s a small chance Canady is able to go the full 7-innings, I don’t think she’s going to be nearly as effective as she would be with a regular days rest. So for that reason, along with the number I don’t know how we don’t take the Horns here. Unless we see 5+ Longhorn errors in this game, I don’t see Texas Tech scoring more than 2-3 runs. And I believe Texas, facing this current fatigued form of Canady, will find success hitting the ball. I could see this somewhere in the neighborhood of 5-1 Texas. So let’s back the Horns here and at a phenomenal price. I doubt this price lasts.

Official Pick: Texas Longhorns (ML) +115

Play Rating: 2-Star